Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.205324 0.227727 0.250779 0.276217 0.303449 0.331672 0.363081
2024-12-22 0.179161 0.209435 0.241708 0.278513 0.319157 0.362511 0.412090
2024-12-29 0.163677 0.200019 0.239924 0.286662 0.339569 0.397279 0.464658
2025-01-05 0.148129 0.188810 0.234732 0.289853 0.353654 0.424636 0.509018
2025-01-12 0.134363 0.178372 0.229380 0.292023 0.366029 0.449847 0.551101
2025-01-19 0.121299 0.167666 0.222819 0.292062 0.375464 0.471510 0.589265
2025-01-26 0.111788 0.160526 0.219918 0.296007 0.389268 0.498270 0.633662
2025-02-02 0.105734 0.157230 0.221373 0.305045 0.409185 0.532481 0.687350
2025-02-09 0.097189 0.150051 0.217450 0.307041 0.420331 0.556231 0.728874
2025-02-16 0.091393 0.146071 0.217283 0.313561 0.437027 0.586850 0.779060
2025-02-23 0.087132 0.143845 0.219176 0.322613 0.456951 0.621656 0.834807
2025-03-02 0.079075 0.135717 0.212737 0.320423 0.462346 0.638412 0.868533
2025-03-09 0.072969 0.130132 0.209657 0.322794 0.473988 0.663642 0.913816
2025-03-16 0.066443 0.123411 0.204583 0.322154 0.481511 0.683646 0.952753
2025-03-23 0.062664 0.120544 0.204718 0.328486 0.498225 0.715514 1.006983
2025-03-30 0.057720 0.115466 0.201358 0.329741 0.508052 0.738561 1.050240
2025-04-06 0.053001 0.110356 0.197634 0.330236 0.516712 0.760094 1.091732
2025-04-13 0.048181 0.104668 0.192698 0.328713 0.522431 0.777717 1.128286
2025-04-20 0.044868 0.101247 0.190986 0.331692 0.534298 0.803514 1.175660
2025-04-27 0.043116 0.100402 0.193176 0.340378 0.554208 0.840213 1.237638
2025-05-04 0.039855 0.096579 0.190453 0.341607 0.563551 0.862795 1.281259
2025-05-11 0.037881 0.094944 0.191114 0.347856 0.580047 0.895156 1.338072
2025-05-18 0.036592 0.094491 0.193634 0.356935 0.600685 0.933331 1.402947